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So how to look at this is the fact after we are down below twenty% on the X-axis (lower than 20% h2o in the oil), There's zero around the y-axis (the h2o will not move in the rock in the slightest degree). As we get higher than 20% water saturation, the move of drinking water will increase fast, until eventually over eighty% h2o, there is not any move of oil in the least.
Euan has questioned whether or not an increase in drinking water Slash like this could have a substantial more than enough impact on manufacturing to clarify the many declines we see. Allow me to check out to make an estimate on how huge it could be. We are not able to try this with any precision with the fractional move curve simply because we don't have an exact fractional flow curve for this A part of Ghawar. Nonetheless, There exists other knowledge in Paper #93439 which permits us estimate this. Especially, the paper consists of a discussion of what portion of output arises from driving the flood front, compared to in front of the flood front.
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